Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ARL8B

ARF like GTPase 8B

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-31; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 930.91
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 16433

Sealed predictions

  1. ARL8B in dopamine neurons, braak+0.53 (p 0.146) → +0.04 (p 0.928)receipt 16440

Swarm cases

receipt 16440: ARL8B in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.49 (p 0.040, n 18), 95% CI +0.03 to +0.78. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.53 (p 0.025, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.57 (p 0.014, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.41 to +0.59, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.49 (p 0.040, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARL8B in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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