Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ARL5B

ARF like GTPase 5B

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6111

Sealed predictions

  1. ARL5B in dopamine neurons, braak+0.54 (p 0.133) → +0.72 (p 0.028)receipt 6118

Swarm cases

receipt 6118: ARL5B in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.71 (p 0.0010, n 18), 95% CI +0.36 to +0.88. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.59 (p 0.0096, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.58 (p 0.011, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.67 to +0.78, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.71 (p 0.0010, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARL5B in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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