Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ARHGEF10

Rho guanine nucleotide exchange factor 10

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-30; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched in oligodendrocytes (190 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 760.91
pathways
Reactome
7 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 15384

Sealed predictions

  1. ARHGEF10 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.41 (p 0.277) → +0.40 (p 0.285)receipt 15392
  2. ARHGEF10 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.08 (p 0.833) → +0.12 (p 0.749)receipt 15391

Swarm cases

receipt 15392: ARHGEF10 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.39 (p 0.114, n 18), 95% CI -0.10 to +0.72. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.39 (p 0.114, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.36 (p 0.148, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.30 to +0.50, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.39 (p 0.114, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARHGEF10 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 15391: ARHGEF10 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.00 (p 0.997, n 18), 95% CI -0.47 to +0.47. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.03 (p 0.915, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.04 (p 0.888, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.15 to +0.14, sign flips 8; without severely affected donors -0.00 (p 0.997, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARHGEF10 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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