Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ARAP2

ArfGAP with RhoGAP domain, ankyrin repeat and PH domain 2

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-29; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in oligodendrocytes (987 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 14020

Sealed predictions

  1. ARAP2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.37 (p 0.329) → +0.26 (p 0.493)receipt 14027
  2. ARAP2 in oligodendrocytes, braak-0.01 (p 0.981) → +0.15 (p 0.705)receipt 14026

Swarm cases

receipt 14027: ARAP2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.06 (p 0.807, n 18), 95% CI -0.51 to +0.42. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.08 (p 0.748, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.03 (p 0.922, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.21 to +0.06, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors -0.06 (p 0.807, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARAP2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 14026: ARAP2 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.11 (p 0.664, n 18), 95% CI -0.38 to +0.55. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.16 (p 0.538, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.26 (p 0.306, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.00 to +0.17, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors +0.11 (p 0.664, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARAP2 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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