Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

AGPAT4

1-acylglycerol-3-phosphate O-acyltransferase 4

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-27; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in oligodendrocytes (550 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.36
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 510.91
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12118

Sealed predictions

  1. AGPAT4 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.34 (p 0.374) → -0.36 (p 0.347)receipt 12125
  2. AGPAT4 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.29 (p 0.457) → -0.34 (p 0.374)receipt 12126

Swarm cases

receipt 12126: AGPAT4 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.30 (p 0.228, n 18), 95% CI -0.67 to +0.20. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.25 (p 0.315, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.23 (p 0.369, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.39 to -0.21, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.30 (p 0.228, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AGPAT4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 12125: AGPAT4 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.03 (p 0.915, n 18), 95% CI -0.49 to +0.45. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.08 (p 0.741, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.03 (p 0.908, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.18 to +0.11, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors -0.03 (p 0.915, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AGPAT4 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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