Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ADGRA3

adhesion G protein-coupled receptor A3

translation score 0.46, read 2026-10-26; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in pituitary stem cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.36
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10934

Sealed predictions

  1. ADGRA3 in astrocytes, braak+0.00 (p 1.000) → +0.02 (p 0.962)receipt 10940
  2. ADGRA3 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.34 (p 0.373) → -0.47 (p 0.204)receipt 10941

Swarm cases

receipt 10941: ADGRA3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.02 (p 0.935, n 18), 95% CI -0.48 to +0.45. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.03 (p 0.908, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.18 to +0.09, sign flips 7; without severely affected donors -0.02 (p 0.935, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ADGRA3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 10940: ADGRA3 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.01 (p 0.983, n 18), 95% CI -0.47 to +0.46. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.01 (p 0.969, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.11 (p 0.671, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.07 to +0.15, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors -0.01 (p 0.983, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ADGRA3 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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