Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 8855

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

CASP12 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 8854, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 8855
    24 Oct 2026, 17:25 UTC

    CASP12

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionCASP12 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered962d880784d9c59b

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    CASP12 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    b397f739a4ccab1457a40e5e…
    follows a53b5e1a24e5…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 8855: CASP12 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
CASP12 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CASP12 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.