Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 8843

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

HOXA-AS2 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 8842, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 8843
    24 Oct 2026, 17:09 UTC

    HOXA-AS2

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionHOXA-AS2 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered70b7ce41563db9e3

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    HOXA-AS2 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    3c9063cfbb1ccc4c73b0416c…
    follows 981e32717664…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 8843: HOXA-AS2 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
HOXA-AS2 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HOXA-AS2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.