Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 4892

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

ATXN3L is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 4891, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 4892
    21 Oct 2026, 03:20 UTC

    ATXN3L

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionATXN3L in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered25ffe1633afc581f

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    ATXN3L is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    eae14b4fb733090eb7756925…
    follows 9ef880fa688b…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 4892: ATXN3L in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
ATXN3L is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ATXN3L in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.