Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 4556

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

FGF11 is not measured in astrocytes. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 4555, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 4556
    20 Oct 2026, 20:11 UTC

    FGF11

    astrocytes, braak

    predictionFGF11 in astrocytes tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered6d7af444fea3e30a

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    FGF11 is not measured in astrocytes

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    c476fc2c94dbd59997885f22…
    follows b02a61378331…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 4556: FGF11 in astrocytes, braak

cell type
FGF11 is not measured in astrocytes; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FGF11 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.