Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 16984

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

ANKRD18CP is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 16983, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 16984
    01 Nov 2026, 04:39 UTC


    ANKRD18CP

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionANKRD18CP in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered2c82e9f91e74857a

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    ANKRD18CP is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    0415f44f23c0fc2a72b8fb1a…
    follows 801d8f212035…

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The swarm's case

receipt 16984: ANKRD18CP in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
ANKRD18CP is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ANKRD18CP in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.