Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 16842

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

BCAR4 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 16841, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 16842
    01 Nov 2026, 02:15 UTC


    BCAR4

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionBCAR4 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered8a3162fc408c2ebe

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    BCAR4 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    2bea7635e92a3f3180c4c05b…
    follows 80abc5391148…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 16842: BCAR4 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
BCAR4 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BCAR4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.