Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 16600

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

IGHA1 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 16599, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 16600
    31 Oct 2026, 20:54 UTC


    IGHA1

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionIGHA1 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered17cd4a20afb977eb

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    IGHA1 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    6e3b6f164f7a9df08b77ceaa…
    follows 07688f3f0c89…

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The swarm's case

receipt 16600: IGHA1 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
IGHA1 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IGHA1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.