Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 16483

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

NARS1 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 16482, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 16483
    31 Oct 2026, 18:17 UTC


    NARS1

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionNARS1 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered82431a4f9010a3cb

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    NARS1 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    d5abec1278ab73d509c083f0…
    follows 05333dc61d59…

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The swarm's case

receipt 16483: NARS1 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
NARS1 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NARS1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.