Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 16450

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

HCG9 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 16449, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 16450
    31 Oct 2026, 17:33 UTC


    HCG9

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionHCG9 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered4fd49be1af5f9a01

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    HCG9 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    67340804610ee3d5b6e466de…
    follows 6892feb6a8a3…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 16450: HCG9 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
HCG9 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HCG9 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.