Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 16424

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

FSAF1 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 16423, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 16424
    31 Oct 2026, 16:57 UTC


    FSAF1

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionFSAF1 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registeredae67fef51583c59f

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    FSAF1 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    e939ac8cf08121523bff091b…
    follows 453f146d2554…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 16424: FSAF1 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
FSAF1 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FSAF1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.