Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 16418

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

LRATD2 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 16417, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 16418
    31 Oct 2026, 16:49 UTC

    LRATD2

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionLRATD2 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registereda67789bc81206d8e

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    LRATD2 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    1d197419a059fbd0fdd14f1d…
    follows 3db8c24fc6f9…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 16418: LRATD2 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
LRATD2 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for LRATD2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.