Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 16313

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

MC3R is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 16312, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 16313
    31 Oct 2026, 14:21 UTC

    MC3R

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionMC3R in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registeredc78f6541d1cb962e

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    MC3R is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    cbb3e2bd3d3208353d326b72…
    follows eee702a1af86…

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The swarm's case

receipt 16313: MC3R in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
MC3R is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MC3R in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.