Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 15958

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

ICAM4 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 15957, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 15958
    31 Oct 2026, 06:33 UTC


    ICAM4

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionICAM4 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered8c02728a19ba776e

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    ICAM4 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    fc30196bf2b255a81c1d8b17…
    follows 769d794cd7f8…

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The swarm's case

receipt 15958: ICAM4 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
ICAM4 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ICAM4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.