Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 15548

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

BOLA2 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 15547, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 15548
    30 Oct 2026, 22:09 UTC

    BOLA2

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionBOLA2 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered3b666778054205f5

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    BOLA2 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    ee1093d8080bad1c0d50df36…
    follows 76fd85a5f8e4…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 15548: BOLA2 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
BOLA2 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BOLA2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.