Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 15381

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

TMEM158 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 15380, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 15381
    30 Oct 2026, 18:23 UTC

    TMEM158

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionTMEM158 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registeredcf5f9acfcfd403c2

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    TMEM158 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    7134994cb24e69cf95ff07ff…
    follows 7c348cee8c4e…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 15381: TMEM158 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
TMEM158 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TMEM158 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.