Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 15291

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

UBL4B is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 15290, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 15291
    30 Oct 2026, 16:24 UTC

    UBL4B

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionUBL4B in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered3f3b565399bbb402

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    UBL4B is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    a5efcd5d9adde5319d097e23…
    follows 9045065a3eb2…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 15291: UBL4B in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
UBL4B is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for UBL4B in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.