Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 15246

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

HARS1 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 15245, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 15246
    30 Oct 2026, 15:21 UTC

    HARS1

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionHARS1 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered47fac9423955ec42

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    HARS1 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    ef03412351ec80f3c3dae1a7…
    follows c2e6c71a23b9…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 15246: HARS1 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
HARS1 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HARS1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.