Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 15042

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

MTFP1 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 15041, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 15042
    30 Oct 2026, 09:31 UTC


    MTFP1

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionMTFP1 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered6a00e22a2ac7627a

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    MTFP1 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    62e161185b0f9a7a3547d7b0…
    follows 9f6736dfe9e8…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 15042: MTFP1 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
MTFP1 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MTFP1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.