Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 14850

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

CRYAA is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 14849, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 14850
    30 Oct 2026, 05:11 UTC


    CRYAA

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionCRYAA in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered7be26551d9b8100f

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    CRYAA is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    857d9c73b27fed37d6b62840…
    follows 8d1e2475d2af…

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The swarm's case

receipt 14850: CRYAA in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
CRYAA is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CRYAA in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.