Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 14820

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

MIR22 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 14819, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 14820
    30 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC


    MIR22

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionMIR22 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered8d355b47aa4e090b

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    MIR22 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    c715313d7f1a18e695fd105f…
    follows e64855f10fb0…

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The swarm's case

receipt 14820: MIR22 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
MIR22 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MIR22 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.