Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 14483

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

HERC2P4 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 14482, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 14483
    29 Oct 2026, 21:34 UTC

    HERC2P4

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionHERC2P4 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registeredc9ed9f5d0baf7904

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    HERC2P4 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    6a48b30a1620889c54f3aa68…
    follows 0d3c3fc3443c…

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The swarm's case

receipt 14483: HERC2P4 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
HERC2P4 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HERC2P4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.