Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 14105

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

CITED2 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 14104, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 14105
    29 Oct 2026, 12:55 UTC


    CITED2

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionCITED2 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered84f34aadd9fea85e

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    CITED2 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    a246ca4b31cb89eca3ca6e23…
    follows 2b0cc9aa8d6c…

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The swarm's case

receipt 14105: CITED2 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
CITED2 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CITED2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.