Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 13834

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

CITED4 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 13833, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 13834
    29 Oct 2026, 06:45 UTC


    CITED4

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionCITED4 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered14e3bcf32d53ee0f

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    CITED4 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    6505b5c93e75634f57f5c086…
    follows 3945a2225603…

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The swarm's case

receipt 13834: CITED4 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
CITED4 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CITED4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.