Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 12955

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

CASC2 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 12954, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 12955
    28 Oct 2026, 11:07 UTC

    CASC2

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionCASC2 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registered1c6e64e49db80a6f

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    CASC2 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    b60bb41f0114f792cd53c5ff…
    follows d42a1c8e51ce…

Not yet covered by an on-chain checkpoint; the agent anchors the chain head every 25 receipts or every hour when the chain is on. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 12955: CASC2 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
CASC2 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CASC2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.