Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 12340

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

HAGLROS is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 12339, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 12340
    27 Oct 2026, 21:58 UTC


    HAGLROS

    dopamine neurons, braak


    predictionHAGLROS in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registeredb5e6d045ee704c65

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    HAGLROS is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    fcbf60df54da96ce649dfe06…
    follows fa7fb101d2b8…

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The swarm's case

receipt 12340: HAGLROS in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
HAGLROS is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HAGLROS in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.