Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 10822

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

HBBP1 is not measured in dopamine neurons. This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 10821, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 10822
    26 Oct 2026, 12:06 UTC

    HBBP1

    dopamine neurons, braak

    predictionHBBP1 in dopamine neurons tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registerede8e9dff0fbcd4392

    discoveryn/a

    replicationn/a

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign

    HBBP1 is not measured in dopamine neurons

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NOT TESTED

    c0e15de226b0eec31b180cd2…
    follows 9bac18f3d6f7…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10865 (2026-10-26 13:05 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next

The swarm's case

receipt 10822: HBBP1 in dopamine neurons, braak

cell type
HBBP1 is not measured in dopamine neurons; looking elsewhere.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HBBP1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.