Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

XPA

XPA, DNA damage recognition and repair factor

translation score 0.52, read 2026-10-24; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
5 Parkinson's papers of 1,4570.76
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly mitochondrial quality control1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8782

Sealed predictions

  1. XPA in dopamine neurons, braak+0.17 (p 0.668) → +0.11 (p 0.787)receipt 8789

Swarm cases

receipt 8789: XPA in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.06 (p 0.807, n 18), 95% CI -0.42 to +0.51. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.03 (p 0.894, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.05 (p 0.854, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.07 to +0.18, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors +0.06 (p 0.807, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for XPA in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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