Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

XBP1

X-box binding protein 1

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
74 Parkinson's papers of 4,0290.43
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5595

Sealed predictions

  1. XBP1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.07 (p 0.855) → -0.38 (p 0.311)receipt 5601

Swarm cases

receipt 5601: XBP1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.23 (p 0.355, n 18), 95% CI -0.63 to +0.26. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.23 (p 0.369, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.23 (p 0.369, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.37 to -0.11, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.23 (p 0.355, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for XBP1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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