Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

VIP

vasoactive intestinal peptide

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.09 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in brain inhibitory neurons (53 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
176 Parkinson's papers of 25,5180.32
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2988

Sealed predictions

  1. VIP in dopamine neurons, braak+0.65 (p 0.056) → +0.60 (p 0.089)receipt 2995

Swarm cases

receipt 2995: VIP in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.54 (p 0.021, n 18), 95% CI +0.10 to +0.80. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.58 (p 0.012, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.61 (p 0.0077, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.48 to +0.65, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.54 (p 0.021, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for VIP in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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