Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

VHL

von Hippel-Lindau tumor suppressor

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
14 Parkinson's papers of 6,8340.64
pathways
Reactome
7 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6523

Sealed predictions

  1. VHL in dopamine neurons, braak+0.11 (p 0.775) → +0.06 (p 0.869)receipt 6529

Swarm cases

receipt 6529: VHL in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.00 (p 0.990, n 18), 95% CI -0.47 to +0.46. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.04 (p 0.881, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.05 (p 0.847, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.16 to +0.07, sign flips 13; without severely affected donors -0.00 (p 0.990, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for VHL in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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