Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

VDR

vitamin D receptor

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.14 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: seocalcitol, paricalcitol, becocalcidiol +151.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
84 Parkinson's papers of 9,8690.42
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2229

Sealed predictions

  1. VDR in dopamine neurons, braak-0.47 (p 0.207) → +0.07 (p 0.856)receipt 2235

Swarm cases

receipt 2235: VDR in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.21 (p 0.398, n 18), 95% CI -0.62 to +0.28. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.22 (p 0.374, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.29 (p 0.243, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.35 to -0.11, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.21 (p 0.398, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for VDR in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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