Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TWIST1

twist family bHLH transcription factor 1

translation score 0.42, read 2026-10-27; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
7 Parkinson's papers of 2,6140.73
pathways
Reactome
5 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 11936

Sealed predictions

  1. TWIST1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.35 (p 0.354) → +0.90 (p 0.001)receipt 11943

Swarm cases

receipt 11943: TWIST1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.55 (p 0.017, n 18), 95% CI +0.12 to +0.81. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.56 (p 0.017, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.66 (p 0.0030, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.50 to +0.75, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.55 (p 0.017, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TWIST1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

loading the receipts