Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TRAF2

TNF receptor associated factor 2

translation score 0.46, read 2026-10-24; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.50
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
18 Parkinson's papers of 1,9740.61
pathways
Reactome
17 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8958

Sealed predictions

  1. TRAF2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.49 (p 0.178) → -0.39 (p 0.299)receipt 8964

Swarm cases

receipt 8964: TRAF2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.40 (p 0.097, n 18), 95% CI -0.73 to +0.08. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.44 (p 0.067, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.67 (p 0.0022, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.51 to -0.33, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.40 (p 0.097, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TRAF2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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