Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TMPRSS2

transmembrane serine protease 2

translation score 0.42, read 2026-10-30; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
5 Parkinson's papers of 3,6350.76
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 15192

Sealed predictions

  1. TMPRSS2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.15 (p 0.705) → -0.15 (p 0.697)receipt 15200

Swarm cases

receipt 15200: TMPRSS2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.07 (p 0.787, n 18), 95% CI -0.52 to +0.41. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.05 (p 0.840, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.12 (p 0.627, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.19 to +0.05, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors -0.07 (p 0.787, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TMPRSS2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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