Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TGFB3

transforming growth factor beta 3

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-31; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: fresolimumab, luspatercept, bintrafusp alfa0.81
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 4780.91
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 16364

Sealed predictions

  1. TGFB3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.13 (p 0.742) → +0.36 (p 0.347)receipt 16371

Swarm cases

receipt 16371: TGFB3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.08 (p 0.754, n 18), 95% CI -0.40 to +0.53. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.06 (p 0.800, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.10 (p 0.690, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.02 to +0.21, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors +0.08 (p 0.754, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TGFB3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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