Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TGFB1

transforming growth factor beta 1

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.11 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: luspatercept, bintrafusp alfa, fresolimumab +20.81
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
11 Parkinson's papers of 3,2660.67
pathways
Reactome
21 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2451

Sealed predictions

  1. TGFB1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.37 (p 0.324) → -0.09 (p 0.815)receipt 2460

Swarm cases

receipt 2460: TGFB1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.23 (p 0.360, n 18), 95% CI -0.63 to +0.27. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.26 (p 0.289, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.31 (p 0.207, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.41 to -0.15, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.23 (p 0.360, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TGFB1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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