Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TFG

trafficking from ER to golgi regulator

translation score 0.44, read 2026-10-24; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
6 Parkinson's papers of 7440.74
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8547

Sealed predictions

  1. TFG in dopamine neurons, braak+0.85 (p 0.004) → +0.00 (p 1.000)receipt 8553

Swarm cases

receipt 8553: TFG in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.45 (p 0.060, n 18), 95% CI -0.02 to +0.76. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.49 (p 0.040, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.48 (p 0.043, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.37 to +0.61, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.45 (p 0.060, n 18). robust.
cell type
strongest in OPCs: -0.61 (p 0.0072, n 18) vs +0.45 in dopamine neurons. proposing OPCs.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TFG in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up TFG · OPCs · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) +0.07 p 0.790 (needs p < 2.5e-4)

Receipts

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