Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TF

transferrin

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.12 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
4 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
134 Parkinson's papers of 36,0060.35
pathways
Reactome
7 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2368

Sealed predictions

  1. TF in dopamine neurons, braak-0.17 (p 0.663) → +0.20 (p 0.615)receipt 2375

Swarm cases

receipt 2375: TF in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.06 (p 0.820, n 18), 95% CI -0.42 to +0.51. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.04 (p 0.874, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.16 (p 0.526, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.06 to +0.19, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors +0.06 (p 0.820, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TF in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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