Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

TCF4

transcription factor 4

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-25; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocyte progenitor cells; strongest in pdcs0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
7 Parkinson's papers of 2,4390.73
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10158

Sealed predictions

  1. TCF4 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.45 (p 0.227) → +0.41 (p 0.273)receipt 10165
  2. TCF4 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.25 (p 0.514) → +0.26 (p 0.502)receipt 10164

Swarm cases

receipt 10165: TCF4 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.39 (p 0.109, n 18), 95% CI -0.09 to +0.73. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.30 (p 0.221, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.28 (p 0.258, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.32 to +0.56, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.39 (p 0.109, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TCF4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 10164: TCF4 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.21 (p 0.393, n 18), 95% CI -0.28 to +0.62. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.21 (p 0.393, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.14 (p 0.573, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.10 to +0.39, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.21 (p 0.393, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for TCF4 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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