Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

STX12

syntaxin 12

translation score 0.40, read 2026-10-27; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.36
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12232

Sealed predictions

  1. STX12 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.83 (p 0.006) → +0.47 (p 0.197)receipt 12239

Swarm cases

receipt 12239: STX12 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.47 (p 0.049, n 18), 95% CI +0.01 to +0.77. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.48 (p 0.045, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.51 (p 0.032, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.39 to +0.57, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.47 (p 0.049, n 18). robust.
cell type
strongest in astrocytes: -0.75 (p 3.7e-4, n 18) vs +0.47 in dopamine neurons. proposing astrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for STX12 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up STX12 · astrocytes · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.57 p 0.041 (needs p < 1.8e-4)

Receipts

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