Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

SOX2

SRY-box transcription factor 2

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-19; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.08 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in podocytes0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
98 Parkinson's papers of 12,5920.40
pathways
Reactome
12 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3240

Sealed predictions

  1. SOX2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.42 (p 0.262) → +0.29 (p 0.443)receipt 3248
  2. SOX2 in astrocytes, braak-0.10 (p 0.802) → +0.10 (p 0.790)receipt 3247

Swarm cases

receipt 3248: SOX2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.05 (p 0.840, n 18), 95% CI -0.43 to +0.51. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.05 (p 0.847, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.16 (p 0.526, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.07 to +0.17, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors +0.05 (p 0.840, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SOX2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 3247: SOX2 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.02 (p 0.928, n 18), 95% CI -0.45 to +0.48. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.14 (p 0.585, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.02 (p 0.935, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.10 to +0.14, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors +0.02 (p 0.928, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SOX2 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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