Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

SLC30A10

solute carrier family 30 member 10

translation score 0.40, read 2026-10-22; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in hepatocytes0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
47 Parkinson's papers of 1590.49
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6492

Sealed predictions

  1. SLC30A10 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.84 (p 0.004) → +0.37 (p 0.329)receipt 6500
  2. SLC30A10 in astrocytes, braak-0.16 (p 0.685) → -0.30 (p 0.436)receipt 6499

Swarm cases

receipt 6500: SLC30A10 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.68 (p 0.0019, n 18), 95% CI +0.31 to +0.87. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.70 (p 0.0012, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.68 (p 0.0021, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.64 to +0.79, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.68 (p 0.0019, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SLC30A10 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 6499: SLC30A10 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.12 (p 0.640, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.37. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.10 (p 0.702, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.12 (p 0.646, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.27 to +0.01, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors -0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in dopamine neurons: +0.68 (p 0.0019, n 18) vs -0.12 in astrocytes. proposing dopamine neurons.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SLC30A10 in astrocytes.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up SLC30A10 · dopamine neurons · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) +0.38 p 0.183 (needs p < 3.2e-4)

Receipts

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