Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

SLC12A2

solute carrier family 12 member 2

translation score 0.52, read 2026-10-17; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.28 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocytes; strongest in mucous neck cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 1451

Sealed predictions

  1. SLC12A2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.04 (p 0.912) → -0.22 (p 0.565)receipt 1459
  2. SLC12A2 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.24 (p 0.529) → +0.27 (p 0.487)receipt 1458

Swarm cases

receipt 1459: SLC12A2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.13 (p 0.597, n 18), 95% CI -0.57 to +0.36. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.21 (p 0.398, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.29 to -0.02, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.13 (p 0.597, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SLC12A2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 1458: SLC12A2 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.19 (p 0.450, n 18), 95% CI -0.30 to +0.60. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.19 (p 0.455, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.25 (p 0.310, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.09 to +0.32, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.19 (p 0.450, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for SLC12A2 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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