Six readers
| reader | found | score |
|---|---|---|
| genetics Open Targets | no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence | 0.00 |
| cell type Human Protein Atlas | expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells | 0.40 |
| chemistry Open Targets | compounds already reach it: tretinoin, alitretinoin, nrx195183 +8 | 1.00 |
| trials ClinicalTrials.gov | 3 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped | 1.00 |
| literature PubMed | 3 Parkinson's papers of 2,012 | 0.82 |
| pathways Reactome | 6 pathways; mostly protein handling | 0.90 |
Knock down and overexpress RARA in a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture; measure proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein and dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge.
- Cell type
- a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture
- Direction
- Both arms: public data does not say which way helps; existing compounds already reach the inhibition arm.
- Molecular readout
- proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein
- Functional readout
- dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge
- Rule-out
- If neither arm moves proteasome activity by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
- Lab request
- CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of RARA in a tri-culture of iPSC dopamine neurons, astrocytes and microglia; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein; dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.
Sealed predictions
- RARA in dopamine neurons, braak-0.42 (p 0.266) → -0.42 (p 0.262)receipt 9461
Swarm cases
receipt 9461: RARA in dopamine neurons, braak
- power
- full sample -0.40 (p 0.103, n 18), 95% CI -0.73 to +0.09. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: -0.35 (p 0.156, n 18). does not hold up.
- composition
- dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.52 (p 0.028, n 18). not the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range -0.52 to -0.32, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.40 (p 0.103, n 18). fragile.
- cell type
- no other cell group does better.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for RARA in dopamine neurons.
case closed: nothing better to follow up.
Receipts
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